Small- and large-stakes risk aversion: implications of concavity calabration for decision theory
James C. Cox, Vjollca Sadiraj
Abstract
James C. Cox, Vjollca Sadiraj
Abstract
A growing literature reports the conclusions that: (a) expected utility theory does not provide a plausible theory of risk aversion for both small-stakes and large-stakes gambles; and (b) this decision theory should be replaced with an alternative theory characterized by loss aversion. This paper explains that the arguments in previous literature fail to support these conclusions. Either concavity calibration has no general implication for expected utility theory or it has problematic implications for all decision theories that involve concave transformations (utility or value functions) of positive money payoffs, which makes loss aversion irrelevant to the argument. Keywords: Concavity calibration; Expected utility theory; Prospect theory; Risk aversion JEL classification codes: C90; D81
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A growing literature reports the conclusions that: (a) expected utility theory does not provide a plausible theory of risk aversion for both small-stakes and large-stakes gambles; and (b) this decision theory should be replaced with an alternative theory characterized by loss aversion. This paper explains that the arguments in previous literature fail to support these conclusions. Either concavity calibration has no general implication for expected utility theory or it has problematic implications for all decision theories that involve concave transformations (utility or value functions) of positive money payoffs, which makes loss aversion irrelevant to the argument. Keywords: Concavity calibration; Expected utility theory; Prospect theory; Risk aversion JEL classification codes: C90; D81
Key concepts: Expected utility hypothesis, Risk aversion (psychology), Loss aversion, Decision theory, Prospect theory, Economics, Utility theory, Von Neumann–Morgenstern utility theorem