Monetary Policy and Real Estate Prices: A Disaggregated Analysis for Switzerland
Michael Berlemann, Julia Freese
Abstract
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Michael Berlemann, Julia Freese
Abstract
Open-access reader
Most empirical studies found that monetary policy has a significant effect on house prices while stock markets remain unaffected by interest rate shocks. In this paper we conduct a more detailed analysis by studying various sub-segments of the real estate market. Em-ploying a new dataset for Switzerland we estimate vector autoregressive models and find substitution effects between house and apartment prices on the one hand and rental prices on the other. Interestingly enough, commercial property prices do not react on interest rate variations.
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Most empirical studies found that monetary policy has a significant effect on house prices while stock markets remain unaffected by interest rate shocks. In this paper we conduct a more detailed analysis by studying various sub-segments of the real estate market. Em-ploying a new dataset for Switzerland we estimate vector autoregressive models and find substitution effects between house and apartment prices on the one hand and rental prices on the other. Interestingly enough, commercial property prices do not react on interest rate variations.
Key concepts: Real estate, Economics, Renting, Monetary policy, Interest rate, Stock (firearms), Autoregressive model, Apartment