2013Working paperOpen access

Business Cycle Implications of Internal Consumption Habit for New Keynesian Models

Takashi Kano, James M. Nason

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Abstract

We study the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models.Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit.Simulation experiments show that internal consumption habit often improves the ability of NKDSGE models to match the spectra of output and consumption growth.Nonetheless, the fit of NKDSGE models with internal consumption habit is susceptible to the sources of nominal rigidity, to spectra identified by permanent productivity shocks, to the choice of monetary policy rule, and to the frequencies used for evaluation.These vulnerabilities indicate that the specification of NKDSGE models is fragile.

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We study the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models.Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit.Simulation experiments show that internal consumption habit often improves the ability of NKDSGE models to match the spectra of output and consumption growth.Nonetheless, the fit of NKDSGE models with internal consumption habit is susceptible to the sources of nominal rigidity, to spectra identified by permanent productivity shocks, to the choice of monetary policy rule, and to the frequencies used for evaluation.These vulnerabilities indicate that the specification of NKDSGE models is fragile.

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Available abstract

We study the implications of internal consumption habit for new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NKDSGE) models.Bayesian Monte Carlo methods are employed to evaluate NKDSGE model fit.Simulation experiments show that internal consumption habit often improves the ability of NKDSGE models to match the spectra of output and consumption growth.Nonetheless, the fit of NKDSGE models with internal consumption habit is susceptible to the sources of nominal rigidity, to spectra identified by permanent productivity shocks, to the choice of monetary policy rule, and to the frequencies used for evaluation.These vulnerabilities indicate that the specification of NKDSGE models is fragile.

Key concepts: Business cycle, Habit, Consumption (sociology), Economics, Keynesian economics, New Keynesian economics, Econometrics, Psychology

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