2008National Bureau of Economic ResearchOpen access

Optimal Monetary Policy in an Operational Medium-Sized DSGE Model

Malin Adolfson, Stefan Laséen, Jesper Lindé, Lars E.O. Svensson

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Abstract

We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank's open-economy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis.Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports our view that the model parameters may be regarded as unaffected by the monetary policy specification.We discuss how monetary policy, and in particular the choice of output gap measure, affects the transmission of shocks.Finally, we use the model to assess the recent Great Recession in the world economy and how its impact on the economic development in Sweden depends on the conduct of monetary policy.This provides an illustration on how Rames incorporates large international spillover effects.

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We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank's open-economy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis.Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports our view that the model parameters may be regarded as unaffected by the monetary policy specification.We discuss how monetary policy, and in particular the choice of output gap measure, affects the transmission of shocks.Finally, we use the model to assess the recent Great Recession in the world economy and how its impact on the economic development in Sweden depends on the conduct of monetary policy.This provides an illustration on how Rames incorporates large international spillover effects.

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Available abstract

We show how to construct optimal policy projections in Ramses, the Riksbank's open-economy medium-sized DSGE model for forecasting and policy analysis.Bayesian estimation of the parameters of the model indicates that they are relatively invariant to alternative policy assumptions and supports our view that the model parameters may be regarded as unaffected by the monetary policy specification.We discuss how monetary policy, and in particular the choice of output gap measure, affects the transmission of shocks.Finally, we use the model to assess the recent Great Recession in the world economy and how its impact on the economic development in Sweden depends on the conduct of monetary policy.This provides an illustration on how Rames incorporates large international spillover effects.

Key concepts: Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, Monetary policy, Economics, Econometrics, Monetary economics, Macroeconomics

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