2016RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

Lévy-Vasicek Models and the Long-Bond Return Process

Dorje C. Brody, Lane P. Hughston, David M. Meier

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Abstract

The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the Lévy-Vasicek case, avoiding issues of market incompleteness. In the Lévy-Vasicek model the short rate is taken in the real-world measure to be a mean-reverting process with a general one-dimensional Lévy driver admitting exponential moments. Expressions are obtained for the Lévy-Vasicek bond prices and interest rates, along with a formula for the return on a unit investment in the long bond, defined by $L_t = \lim_{T \rightarrow \infty} P_{tT} / P_{0T}$, where $P_{tT}$ is the price at time $t$ of a $T$-maturity discount bond. We show that the pricing kernel of a Lévy-Vasicek model is uniformly integrable if and only if the long rate of interest is strictly positive.

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The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the Lévy-Vasicek case, avoiding issues of market incompleteness. In the Lévy-Vasicek model the short rate is taken in the real-world measure to be a mean-reverting process with a general one-dimensional Lévy driver admitting exponential moments. Expressions are obtained for the Lévy-Vasicek bond prices and interest rates, along with a formula for the return on a unit investment in the long bond, defined by $L_t = \lim_{T \rightarrow \infty} P_{tT} / P_{0T}$, where $P_{tT}$ is the price at time $t$ of a $T$-maturity discount bond. We show that the pricing kernel of a Lévy-Vasicek model is uniformly integrable if and only if the long rate of interest is strictly positive.

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Available abstract

The classical derivation of the well-known Vasicek model for interest rates is reformulated in terms of the associated pricing kernel. An advantage of the pricing kernel method is that it allows one to generalize the construction to the Lévy-Vasicek case, avoiding issues of market incompleteness. In the Lévy-Vasicek model the short rate is taken in the real-world measure to be a mean-reverting process with a general one-dimensional Lévy driver admitting exponential moments. Expressions are obtained for the Lévy-Vasicek bond prices and interest rates, along with a formula for the return on a unit investment in the long bond, defined by $L_t = \lim_{T \rightarrow \infty} P_{tT} / P_{0T}$, where $P_{tT}$ is the price at time $t$ of a $T$-maturity discount bond. We show that the pricing kernel of a Lévy-Vasicek model is uniformly integrable if and only if the long rate of interest is strictly positive.

Key concepts: Vasicek model, Interest rate, Bond valuation, Stochastic discount factor, Bond, Kernel (algebra), Mathematics, Econometrics

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