The risk level of Vietnam non-banking investment and financial services industry under financial leverage during and after the global crisis 2007-2011
Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy
Abstract
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Dinh Tran Ngoc Huy
Abstract
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This paper estimates the impacts of external financing on market risk for the listed firms in the Viet nam non-banking financial services industry, esp. after the financial crisis 2007-2009. First, by using quantitative and analytical methods to estimate asset and equity beta of total 10 listed companies in Vietnam non-banking financial services industry with a proper traditional model, we found out that the beta values, in general, for many institutions are acceptable. Second, under 3 different scenarios of changing leverage (in 2011 financial reports, 30% up and 20% down), we recognized that the risk level, measured by equity and asset beta mean, decreases when leverage increases to 30% and vice versa. Third, by changing leverage in 3 scenarios, we recognized the dispersion of risk level increases (measured by equity beta var) if the leverage decreases down to 20%. Finally, this paper provides some outcomes that could provide companies and government more evidence in establishing their policies in governance.
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This paper estimates the impacts of external financing on market risk for the listed firms in the Viet nam non-banking financial services industry, esp. after the financial crisis 2007-2009. First, by using quantitative and analytical methods to estimate asset and equity beta of total 10 listed companies in Vietnam non-banking financial services industry with a proper traditional model, we found out that the beta values, in general, for many institutions are acceptable. Second, under 3 different scenarios of changing leverage (in 2011 financial reports, 30% up and 20% down), we recognized that the risk level, measured by equity and asset beta mean, decreases when leverage increases to 30% and vice versa. Third, by changing leverage in 3 scenarios, we recognized the dispersion of risk level increases (measured by equity beta var) if the leverage decreases down to 20%. Finally, this paper provides some outcomes that could provide companies and government more evidence in establishing their policies in governance.
Key concepts: Leverage (statistics), Financial crisis, Business, Financial system, Equity (law), Operating leverage, Financial services, Finance