Alternative Methods of Estimating Potential Output and the Output Gap
Sweta Saxena, Valerie Cerra
Abstract
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Sweta Saxena, Valerie Cerra
Abstract
Open-access reader
This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of macroeconomic policies. The paper then compares results from some of these methods to the case of Sweden, showing the range of estimates.
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This paper reviews a number of different methods that can be used to estimate potential output and the output gap. Measures of potential output and the output gap are useful to help identify the scope for sustainable noninflationary growth and to allow an assessment of the stance of macroeconomic policies. The paper then compares results from some of these methods to the case of Sweden, showing the range of estimates.
Key concepts: Output gap, Potential output, Econometrics, Environmental science, Computer science, Economics, Macroeconomics, Monetary policy