Blocks adjustment -- reduction of bias and variance of detrended fluctuation analysis using Monte Carlo simulation
Sebastian Michalski
Abstract
Open-access reader
Sebastian Michalski
Abstract
Open-access reader
The length of minimal and maximal blocks equally distant on log-log scale versus fluctuation function considerably influences bias and variance of DFA. Through a number of extensive Monte Carlo simulations and different fractional Brownian motion/fractional Gaussian noise generators, we found the pair of minimal and maximal blocks that minimizes the sum of mean-squared error of estimated Hurst exponents for the series of length N=2^p, p=7,...,15. Sensitivity of DFA to sort-range correlations was examined using ARFIMA(p,d,q) generator. Due to the bias of the estimator for anti-persistent processes, we narrowed down the range of Hurst exponent to 1/2<=H< 1.
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The length of minimal and maximal blocks equally distant on log-log scale versus fluctuation function considerably influences bias and variance of DFA. Through a number of extensive Monte Carlo simulations and different fractional Brownian motion/fractional Gaussian noise generators, we found the pair of minimal and maximal blocks that minimizes the sum of mean-squared error of estimated Hurst exponents for the series of length N=2^p, p=7,...,15. Sensitivity of DFA to sort-range correlations was examined using ARFIMA(p,d,q) generator. Due to the bias of the estimator for anti-persistent processes, we narrowed down the range of Hurst exponent to 1/2<=H< 1.
Key concepts: Detrended fluctuation analysis, Mathematics, Monte Carlo method, Hurst exponent, Fractional Brownian motion, Autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average, Statistics, Estimator