2017National Bureau of Economic ResearchOpen access

Exchange Rate Policies at the Zero Lower Bound

Manuel Amador, Javier Bianchi, Luigi Bocola, Fabrizio Perri

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Abstract

We study the problem of a monetary authority pursuing an exchange rate policy that is inconsistent with interest rate parity because of a binding zero lower bound constraint.The resulting violation in interest rate parity generates an inflow of capital that the monetary authority needs to absorb by accumulating foreign reserves.We show that these interventions by the monetary authority are costly, and we derive a simple measure of these costs: they are proportional to deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) condition and the amount of accumulated foreign reserves.Our framework can account for the recent experiences of "safehaven" currencies and the sign of their observed deviations from CIP.

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We study the problem of a monetary authority pursuing an exchange rate policy that is inconsistent with interest rate parity because of a binding zero lower bound constraint.The resulting violation in interest rate parity generates an inflow of capital that the monetary authority needs to absorb by accumulating foreign reserves.We show that these interventions by the monetary authority are costly, and we derive a simple measure of these costs: they are proportional to deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) condition and the amount of accumulated foreign reserves.Our framework can account for the recent experiences of "safehaven" currencies and the sign of their observed deviations from CIP.

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Available abstract

We study the problem of a monetary authority pursuing an exchange rate policy that is inconsistent with interest rate parity because of a binding zero lower bound constraint.The resulting violation in interest rate parity generates an inflow of capital that the monetary authority needs to absorb by accumulating foreign reserves.We show that these interventions by the monetary authority are costly, and we derive a simple measure of these costs: they are proportional to deviations from the covered interest parity (CIP) condition and the amount of accumulated foreign reserves.Our framework can account for the recent experiences of "safehaven" currencies and the sign of their observed deviations from CIP.

Key concepts: Interest rate parity, International Fisher effect, Zero lower bound, Covered interest arbitrage, Nominal interest rate, Economics, Interest rate, Fisher hypothesis

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