2012RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsOpen access

On the identifiability of copulas in bivariate competing risks models

Maik Schwarz, Geurt Jongbloed, Ingrid Van Keilegom

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Abstract

Abstract. In competing risks models, the joint distribution of the event times is not identifiable even when the margins are fully known, which has been referred to as the “identifiability crisis in competing risks analy-sis ” (Crowder, 1991). We model the dependence between the event times by an unknown copula and show that identification is actually possible within many frequently used families of copulas. The result is then ex-tended to the case where one margin is unknown.

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Abstract. In competing risks models, the joint distribution of the event times is not identifiable even when the margins are fully known, which has been referred to as the “identifiability crisis in competing risks analy-sis ” (Crowder, 1991). We model the dependence between the event times by an unknown copula and show that identification is actually possible within many frequently used families of copulas. The result is then ex-tended to the case where one margin is unknown.

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Available abstract

Abstract. In competing risks models, the joint distribution of the event times is not identifiable even when the margins are fully known, which has been referred to as the “identifiability crisis in competing risks analy-sis ” (Crowder, 1991). We model the dependence between the event times by an unknown copula and show that identification is actually possible within many frequently used families of copulas. The result is then ex-tended to the case where one margin is unknown.

Key concepts: Identifiability, Copula (linguistics), Bivariate analysis, Econometrics, Joint probability distribution, Tail dependence, Marginal distribution, Event (particle physics)

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