2020Communications in Statistics Case Studies Data Analysis and ApplicationsRequires access

Inference using MCMC to a new conjugate prior to positive parameters, applied in environmental data

Fernando Ferraz do Nascimento, Wires do Nascimento Moura

Open publisher page 1 citations

Abstract

Choosing the prior distribution may have great impact on the result of the posterior distribution and, consequently, point and interval estimation of parameters and the respective predictive density. In situations where the parameters are positive, the gamma distribution is the most common as a conjugate prior to a wide family of parameters. Bourguignon presented the weighted Lindley (WL) distribution as an alternative conjugate prior to parameters conjugated from the gamma family. This work consists in presenting a general way to perform inference to this parameters in a p-parametric vector distribution. The method is illustrated with two cases where both the WL distribution and the gamma distribution are conjugated to these families. Estimation of posterior points is sampled using MCMC techniques. The results of the applications showed advantage on using the WL prior distribution, compared to results with the usual prior gamma distribution.

About this research paper

What this paper is about

Choosing the prior distribution may have great impact on the result of the posterior distribution and, consequently, point and interval estimation of parameters and the respective predictive density. In situations where the parameters are positive, the gamma distribution is the most common as a conjugate prior to a wide family of parameters. Bourguignon presented the weighted Lindley (WL) distribution as an alternative conjugate prior to parameters conjugated from the gamma family. This work consists in presenting a general way to perform inference to this parameters in a p-parametric vector distribution. The method is illustrated with two cases where both the WL distribution and the gamma distribution are conjugated to these families. Estimation of posterior points is sampled using MCMC techniques. The results of the applications showed advantage on using the WL prior distribution, compared to results with the usual prior gamma distribution.

Why it matters

OpenAlex reports 1 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

Key contribution

A contribution statement is not available in the OpenAlex record.

Method / approach

Method details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Main findings

Findings are not separately available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Limitations

Limitations are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Applications

Application details are not available in the OpenAlex metadata.

Available abstract

Choosing the prior distribution may have great impact on the result of the posterior distribution and, consequently, point and interval estimation of parameters and the respective predictive density. In situations where the parameters are positive, the gamma distribution is the most common as a conjugate prior to a wide family of parameters. Bourguignon presented the weighted Lindley (WL) distribution as an alternative conjugate prior to parameters conjugated from the gamma family. This work consists in presenting a general way to perform inference to this parameters in a p-parametric vector distribution. The method is illustrated with two cases where both the WL distribution and the gamma distribution are conjugated to these families. Estimation of posterior points is sampled using MCMC techniques. The results of the applications showed advantage on using the WL prior distribution, compared to results with the usual prior gamma distribution.

Key concepts: Posterior predictive distribution, Conjugate prior, Markov chain Monte Carlo, Gamma distribution, Prior probability, Mathematics, Inverse-chi-squared distribution, Categorical distribution

Related papers

Back to paper searchBrowse research topicsOriginal source
Inference using MCMC to a new conjugate prior to positive parameters, applied in environmental data — Research Paper | ScholarLens