2020Journal of Surveying EngineeringRequires access

Nonexistence of Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Variance Components in Some Stochastic Models

Yun Shi, Peiliang Xu

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Abstract

Although maximum likelihood has been widely used to estimate unknown parameters in stochastic models of random errors, we show that the method cannot be used to estimate variance components for some stochastic models of routine measurement systems under some conditions, because the likelihood function is unbounded for such stochastic models. No optimal solution of variance components exists for these likelihood functions from the point of view of global optimization, implying that variance components for such stochastic models of practical importance cannot be estimated by maximizing the likelihood function.

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What this paper is about

Although maximum likelihood has been widely used to estimate unknown parameters in stochastic models of random errors, we show that the method cannot be used to estimate variance components for some stochastic models of routine measurement systems under some conditions, because the likelihood function is unbounded for such stochastic models. No optimal solution of variance components exists for these likelihood functions from the point of view of global optimization, implying that variance components for such stochastic models of practical importance cannot be estimated by maximizing the likelihood function.

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Available abstract

Although maximum likelihood has been widely used to estimate unknown parameters in stochastic models of random errors, we show that the method cannot be used to estimate variance components for some stochastic models of routine measurement systems under some conditions, because the likelihood function is unbounded for such stochastic models. No optimal solution of variance components exists for these likelihood functions from the point of view of global optimization, implying that variance components for such stochastic models of practical importance cannot be estimated by maximizing the likelihood function.

Key concepts: Variance (accounting), Likelihood function, Mathematics, Restricted maximum likelihood, Maximum likelihood, Variance components, Stochastic modelling, Estimation theory

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