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2019•2019 International Conference on Economic Management and Model Engineering (ICEMME)Requires access

Research on Fixed Assets Investment Forecast Based on ARIMA Model

Bokai Zhang

Open publisher page 5 citations

Abstract

Investment is one of the three troikas that drive economic growth. The fixed asset investment is an important part of investment and plays an important role in the economic and social development of a country. This paper used ARIMA model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the total investment in fixed assets of Jinan City, China from 1978 to 2017. The result shows that the ARIMA (1,1,1) model provides more accurate predictions. The research also provides a reliable theoretical basis for Jinan's fixed asset investment.

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What this paper is about

Investment is one of the three troikas that drive economic growth. The fixed asset investment is an important part of investment and plays an important role in the economic and social development of a country. This paper used ARIMA model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the total investment in fixed assets of Jinan City, China from 1978 to 2017. The result shows that the ARIMA (1,1,1) model provides more accurate predictions. The research also provides a reliable theoretical basis for Jinan's fixed asset investment.

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OpenAlex reports 5 citations for this work. Citation counts describe recorded attention and do not establish research quality.

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Available abstract

Investment is one of the three troikas that drive economic growth. The fixed asset investment is an important part of investment and plays an important role in the economic and social development of a country. This paper used ARIMA model to conduct an in-depth analysis of the total investment in fixed assets of Jinan City, China from 1978 to 2017. The result shows that the ARIMA (1,1,1) model provides more accurate predictions. The research also provides a reliable theoretical basis for Jinan's fixed asset investment.

Key concepts: Autoregressive integrated moving average, Fixed asset, Investment (military), Asset (computer security), Fixed investment, China, Time series, Econometrics

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