2009Water and Energy InternationalRequires access

Electricity prices in day ahead energy markets

Lalita Joshi, Sandeep K. Shukla

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Abstract

In deregulated power market, the market clearing price of electricity is the basic information for all market players. Therefore, the market players, i.e., the producers, the traders and the user agencies, need accurate price forecasting tools. This paper deals with a forecasting model based on time series analysis and involves seasonal auto regressive integrated moving average process. This technique is explained and verified for actual electricity price data of a typical power exchange.

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What this paper is about

In deregulated power market, the market clearing price of electricity is the basic information for all market players. Therefore, the market players, i.e., the producers, the traders and the user agencies, need accurate price forecasting tools. This paper deals with a forecasting model based on time series analysis and involves seasonal auto regressive integrated moving average process. This technique is explained and verified for actual electricity price data of a typical power exchange.

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Available abstract

In deregulated power market, the market clearing price of electricity is the basic information for all market players. Therefore, the market players, i.e., the producers, the traders and the user agencies, need accurate price forecasting tools. This paper deals with a forecasting model based on time series analysis and involves seasonal auto regressive integrated moving average process. This technique is explained and verified for actual electricity price data of a typical power exchange.

Key concepts: Electricity market, Electricity, Market clearing, Electricity price, Electricity price forecasting, Clearing, Economics, Power market

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