NATURAL-ANTHROPOGENIC REGIMES IN SIMPLE MODELS OF THE GLOBAL MARINE FISHERIES

The study applies the system dynamics method in upgrading the World Bank’s global marine fisheries models in the interest of achieving the UN goals of sustainable development. The key variables are a global marine fish stock, its natural growth, as well as the fisheries’ effort and catch. The equations for the reproduction of the fish stock in the regimes of maximum sustainable yield, overfishing or undercatch are derived. Determined are collapse time frames in result of typical overfishing varieties. A new positive feedback loop has been proposed in regulating global marine fish stock to ensure maximum sustainable yield asymptotically.