Scenario-based analysis for intermodal transport in the context of service network design models

In this paper, we discuss service network design models for consolidation-based freight transport systems. Two path-based formulations are presented for the domestic and long-corridor cases, respectively. In the context of intermodal transport as a relevant application, the modelling frameworks are applied in Belgium-related case studies, in order to draw meaningful managerial insights. Several future scenarios are experimented by analysing a number of parameters that have been identified as significant operational factors and policy levers. The results underline the costly position of rail transport and a clear economic favouring of inland waterways (IWW), potentially attributed to the high rail fixed costs. Additionally, it is suggested that intermodal transport can benefit from rail subsidies, especially during the early stages of covering the market. Even in the best-case scenario, the resulting modal shares are far from reaching the figures desired for freight transport in the EU. Thus, more powerful instruments need to be implemented to promote greener transport schemes.