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Integral Inference Method of Hit Accuracy for Air-to-air Missile and Air-to-ground Missile

Xin Liu

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Abstract

Due to the difficulty to repeat fire tests of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile in a same launching condition,group test data are unavailable. For that situation,an integral inference method of hit accuracy for air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile is proposed. Combining the simulation results of missile hit accuracy and the miss distance experiment data,the method can be used to infer as a whole the miss distance experiment data of missile in various launching conditions,and establish estimators and confidence limits(intervals) of the mean,the variance and the hit probability in each launching condition. Compared with traditional methods,this method not only can achieve higher precision,but also will solve the problem of missile fire accuracy,dispersion and hit probability assessment with only one miss distance experiment datum in a launching condition. Furthermore,it can give the hit probability of the checkpoint,the whole kill area,and the gist of appraisal and operational efficiency evaluation of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile.

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What this paper is about

Due to the difficulty to repeat fire tests of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile in a same launching condition,group test data are unavailable. For that situation,an integral inference method of hit accuracy for air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile is proposed. Combining the simulation results of missile hit accuracy and the miss distance experiment data,the method can be used to infer as a whole the miss distance experiment data of missile in various launching conditions,and establish estimators and confidence limits(intervals) of the mean,the variance and the hit probability in each launching condition. Compared with traditional methods,this method not only can achieve higher precision,but also will solve the problem of missile fire accuracy,dispersion and hit probability assessment with only one miss distance experiment datum in a launching condition. Furthermore,it can give the hit probability of the checkpoint,the whole kill area,and the gist of appraisal and operational efficiency evaluation of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile.

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Available abstract

Due to the difficulty to repeat fire tests of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile in a same launching condition,group test data are unavailable. For that situation,an integral inference method of hit accuracy for air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile is proposed. Combining the simulation results of missile hit accuracy and the miss distance experiment data,the method can be used to infer as a whole the miss distance experiment data of missile in various launching conditions,and establish estimators and confidence limits(intervals) of the mean,the variance and the hit probability in each launching condition. Compared with traditional methods,this method not only can achieve higher precision,but also will solve the problem of missile fire accuracy,dispersion and hit probability assessment with only one miss distance experiment datum in a launching condition. Furthermore,it can give the hit probability of the checkpoint,the whole kill area,and the gist of appraisal and operational efficiency evaluation of air-to-air missile and air-to-ground missile.

Key concepts: Missile, Air-to-air missile, Estimator, Missile guidance, Computer science, Engineering, Simulation, Aerospace engineering

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Integral Inference Method of Hit Accuracy for Air-to-air Missile and Air-to-ground Missile — Research Paper | ScholarLens