2019•Unpublished venueRequires access

Exports, Imports, and the Exchange Rate: A Causality Analysis for Turkey (2004–2017)

Erdoğan Kotil

Abstract

Abstract The exchange rate has been an important topic in the Turkish Economy for many years. It affects prices with exchange rate pass-through. The aim of this chapter is to analyze the dual relationship between exports and imports, exports and the exchange rate, imports and the exchange rate by using time series analysis. The results indicate that there is only one causal relationship between exports and imports. The direction is from imports to exports.

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Key concepts: Exchange rate, Economics, Causality (physics), Granger causality, International economics, Turkish economy, Turkish, Dual (grammatical number)