2019Mathematics and StatisticsOpen access

An Efficient Copula under Data Perturbations Across Stock Markets

Ivy Barley, Gabriel Asare Okyere, Henry M. Kpamma, James Baah Achamfour, David Kweku, Godfred Zaachi

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Abstract

Economic trade amongst the various West African economies can either lead to mutual gains or losses. It is therefore important to assess the extent to which dependence amongst these countries can have on their economies. The linear correlation coefficient is normally used as a measure of dependence between random variables. However, there are some limitations when used for economic variables like the stock market; as they do not follow the elliptical distribution. Copulas, however are scale-free methods of constructing dependence structures amongst the stock markets, even in cases of data perturbations. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of data perturbations on the copula models. The maximum likelihood estimation method was the parameter estimation method used for the Archimedean copulas. The Clayton, Joe, Frank and Gumbel copulas were estimated. The Gumbel copula was the most robust copula in all the cases of data perturbations.

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Economic trade amongst the various West African economies can either lead to mutual gains or losses. It is therefore important to assess the extent to which dependence amongst these countries can have on their economies. The linear correlation coefficient is normally used as a measure of dependence between random variables. However, there are some limitations when used for economic variables like the stock market; as they do not follow the elliptical distribution. Copulas, however are scale-free methods of constructing dependence structures amongst the stock markets, even in cases of data perturbations. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of data perturbations on the copula models. The maximum likelihood estimation method was the parameter estimation method used for the Archimedean copulas. The Clayton, Joe, Frank and Gumbel copulas were estimated. The Gumbel copula was the most robust copula in all the cases of data perturbations.

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Available abstract

Economic trade amongst the various West African economies can either lead to mutual gains or losses. It is therefore important to assess the extent to which dependence amongst these countries can have on their economies. The linear correlation coefficient is normally used as a measure of dependence between random variables. However, there are some limitations when used for economic variables like the stock market; as they do not follow the elliptical distribution. Copulas, however are scale-free methods of constructing dependence structures amongst the stock markets, even in cases of data perturbations. The aim of this study is to assess the impact of data perturbations on the copula models. The maximum likelihood estimation method was the parameter estimation method used for the Archimedean copulas. The Clayton, Joe, Frank and Gumbel copulas were estimated. The Gumbel copula was the most robust copula in all the cases of data perturbations.

Key concepts: Mathematics, Copula (linguistics), Econometrics, Stock (firearms), Tail dependence, Statistics, Applied mathematics, Multivariate statistics

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