Meta-Analysis of the New Keynesian Phillips Curve in Developed and Emerging Economies
Jarko Fidrmuc, Katarína Danišková
Abstract
Jarko Fidrmuc, Katarína Danišková
Abstract
The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) has become an inherent part of modern monetary policy models. It is derived from micro-founded models with rational expectations, sticky prices, and forward and backward-looking subjects on the market. Reviewing about 200 studies, we analyze the weight of the forward-looking behavior in the hybrid NKPC by means of meta regression. We show that selected data and method characteristics have significant impact on reported results. Moreover, we find a significant publication bias including publications in top journals, while we document no bias for the most cited studies and the most cited authors.
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The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) has become an inherent part of modern monetary policy models. It is derived from micro-founded models with rational expectations, sticky prices, and forward and backward-looking subjects on the market. Reviewing about 200 studies, we analyze the weight of the forward-looking behavior in the hybrid NKPC by means of meta regression. We show that selected data and method characteristics have significant impact on reported results. Moreover, we find a significant publication bias including publications in top journals, while we document no bias for the most cited studies and the most cited authors.
Key concepts: Phillips curve, New Keynesian economics, Economics, Econometrics, Keynesian economics, Rational expectations, Monetary policy, Meta-analysis