2019•Theoretical Economics LettersOpen access

Prediction of Bankruptcy Using Financial Ratios in the Greek Market

George Giannopoulos, Sindre Sigbjørnsen

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Abstract

This study explores the forecasting ability of bankruptcy prediction models for firms listed on the Athens Stock Exchange. The models have been tested whether they are able to predict bankruptcy one, two and three years prior bankruptcy. The highest bankruptcy predictive accuracy is achieved by the Taffler’s and Grammatikos and Gloubos’ Y models. Early and accurate sign of bankruptcy helps businesses take necessary actions to solve financial distress; hence the Greek bankruptcy prediction models will help companies minimize risk.

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What this paper is about

This study explores the forecasting ability of bankruptcy prediction models for firms listed on the Athens Stock Exchange. The models have been tested whether they are able to predict bankruptcy one, two and three years prior bankruptcy. The highest bankruptcy predictive accuracy is achieved by the Taffler’s and Grammatikos and Gloubos’ Y models. Early and accurate sign of bankruptcy helps businesses take necessary actions to solve financial distress; hence the Greek bankruptcy prediction models will help companies minimize risk.

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Available abstract

This study explores the forecasting ability of bankruptcy prediction models for firms listed on the Athens Stock Exchange. The models have been tested whether they are able to predict bankruptcy one, two and three years prior bankruptcy. The highest bankruptcy predictive accuracy is achieved by the Taffler’s and Grammatikos and Gloubos’ Y models. Early and accurate sign of bankruptcy helps businesses take necessary actions to solve financial distress; hence the Greek bankruptcy prediction models will help companies minimize risk.

Key concepts: Bankruptcy, Bankruptcy prediction, Financial distress, Business, Stock exchange, Actuarial science, Sign (mathematics), Financial ratio

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