2018Oxford University Press eBooksRequires access

Intelligent Risk Taking

Antti Ilmanen, Matthew Rauseo

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Abstract

Peoples’ ability to consume in retirement is a function of how much they save, how they invest, and what those investments return over the lifecycle. This chapter explores what rate of return is needed to deliver a comfortable retirement based on current savings rates, as well as intelligent ways to construct portfolios to achieve this rate of return. Based on reasonable long-term return assumptions, defined contribution portfolios as frequently constructed today are unlikely to achieve this required rate of return. By relaxing existing constraints and taking advantage of well-known and broadly accepted investment themes, this required rate of return can be achieved with a well-diversified portfolio, which may lead to a more consistent portfolio across different economic environments.

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Peoples’ ability to consume in retirement is a function of how much they save, how they invest, and what those investments return over the lifecycle. This chapter explores what rate of return is needed to deliver a comfortable retirement based on current savings rates, as well as intelligent ways to construct portfolios to achieve this rate of return. Based on reasonable long-term return assumptions, defined contribution portfolios as frequently constructed today are unlikely to achieve this required rate of return. By relaxing existing constraints and taking advantage of well-known and broadly accepted investment themes, this required rate of return can be achieved with a well-diversified portfolio, which may lead to a more consistent portfolio across different economic environments.

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Available abstract

Peoples’ ability to consume in retirement is a function of how much they save, how they invest, and what those investments return over the lifecycle. This chapter explores what rate of return is needed to deliver a comfortable retirement based on current savings rates, as well as intelligent ways to construct portfolios to achieve this rate of return. Based on reasonable long-term return assumptions, defined contribution portfolios as frequently constructed today are unlikely to achieve this required rate of return. By relaxing existing constraints and taking advantage of well-known and broadly accepted investment themes, this required rate of return can be achieved with a well-diversified portfolio, which may lead to a more consistent portfolio across different economic environments.

Key concepts: Rate of return, Portfolio, Risk–return spectrum, Expected return, Rate of return on a portfolio, Investment performance, Investment (military), Return on investment

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