2012•National Bureau of Economic ResearchOpen access

A Theory of Debt Maturity: The Long and Short of Debt Overhang

Douglas W. Diamond, Zhiguo He

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Abstract

Debt maturity influences debt overhang: the reduced incentive for highly-levered borrowers to make real investments because some value accrues to debt.Reducing maturity can increase or decrease overhang even when shorter-term debt's value depends less on firm value.Future overhang is more volatile for shorter-term debt, making future investment incentives volatile and influencing immediate investment incentives.With immediate investment, shorter-term debt typically imposes lower overhang; longer-term debt can impose less if firm value is more volatile in bad times.For future investments, reduced correlation between the value of assets-in-place and profitability of investment increases the overhang of shorter-term debt.

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Debt maturity influences debt overhang: the reduced incentive for highly-levered borrowers to make real investments because some value accrues to debt.Reducing maturity can increase or decrease overhang even when shorter-term debt's value depends less on firm value.Future overhang is more volatile for shorter-term debt, making future investment incentives volatile and influencing immediate investment incentives.With immediate investment, shorter-term debt typically imposes lower overhang; longer-term debt can impose less if firm value is more volatile in bad times.For future investments, reduced correlation between the value of assets-in-place and profitability of investment increases the overhang of shorter-term debt.

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Available abstract

Debt maturity influences debt overhang: the reduced incentive for highly-levered borrowers to make real investments because some value accrues to debt.Reducing maturity can increase or decrease overhang even when shorter-term debt's value depends less on firm value.Future overhang is more volatile for shorter-term debt, making future investment incentives volatile and influencing immediate investment incentives.With immediate investment, shorter-term debt typically imposes lower overhang; longer-term debt can impose less if firm value is more volatile in bad times.For future investments, reduced correlation between the value of assets-in-place and profitability of investment increases the overhang of shorter-term debt.

Key concepts: Debt overhang, Internal debt, Recourse debt, Debt-to-GDP ratio, Debt, Monetary economics, Debt levels and flows, External debt

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