2017SSRN Electronic JournalOpen access

Evaluating the Impact of Multicollinearity on Regression

Wei Feng, Michael R. Mullen, Shirley Ye Sheng

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Abstract

In empirical regression analysis, the existence of high multicollinearity suggests that predictors may provide redundant information and cause a reduction in statistics power. Meanwhile, dropping correlated variables may result in mis-specified models with biased parameters. Unlike previous studies that are focused on guidelines to diagnose and manage multicollinearity, this paper proposes a practical Monte-Carlo simulation method to determine whether to keep a correlated variable for an empirical model when other factors such as sample size and over-all fitting accuracy mitigate the effect of multicollinearity.

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What this paper is about

In empirical regression analysis, the existence of high multicollinearity suggests that predictors may provide redundant information and cause a reduction in statistics power. Meanwhile, dropping correlated variables may result in mis-specified models with biased parameters. Unlike previous studies that are focused on guidelines to diagnose and manage multicollinearity, this paper proposes a practical Monte-Carlo simulation method to determine whether to keep a correlated variable for an empirical model when other factors such as sample size and over-all fitting accuracy mitigate the effect of multicollinearity.

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Available abstract

In empirical regression analysis, the existence of high multicollinearity suggests that predictors may provide redundant information and cause a reduction in statistics power. Meanwhile, dropping correlated variables may result in mis-specified models with biased parameters. Unlike previous studies that are focused on guidelines to diagnose and manage multicollinearity, this paper proposes a practical Monte-Carlo simulation method to determine whether to keep a correlated variable for an empirical model when other factors such as sample size and over-all fitting accuracy mitigate the effect of multicollinearity.

Key concepts: Multicollinearity, Statistics, Variance inflation factor, Econometrics, Regression analysis, Sample size determination, Monte Carlo method, Regression

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