2006•27th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical MeteorologyRequires access

A comparison of targeting techniques for 2005 Atlantic Tropical Cyclones

Brian J. Etherton, Chun‐Chieh Wu, Sharanya J. Majumdar, Sim D. Aberson

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Abstract

It is well established that tropical cyclones have tremendous potential to cause loss of life and property. Accurate forecasts are the primary means of saving lives. The accuracy of forecasts produced at the various forecast agencies is tied to the accuracy of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) of the cyclones. Given that NWP is sensitive to the model initial conditions, improving the initial conditions in a tropical cyclone environment can make a sizeable impact on cyclone forecasts.

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What this paper is about

It is well established that tropical cyclones have tremendous potential to cause loss of life and property. Accurate forecasts are the primary means of saving lives. The accuracy of forecasts produced at the various forecast agencies is tied to the accuracy of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) of the cyclones. Given that NWP is sensitive to the model initial conditions, improving the initial conditions in a tropical cyclone environment can make a sizeable impact on cyclone forecasts.

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Available abstract

It is well established that tropical cyclones have tremendous potential to cause loss of life and property. Accurate forecasts are the primary means of saving lives. The accuracy of forecasts produced at the various forecast agencies is tied to the accuracy of the numerical weather prediction (NWP) of the cyclones. Given that NWP is sensitive to the model initial conditions, improving the initial conditions in a tropical cyclone environment can make a sizeable impact on cyclone forecasts.

Key concepts: Tropical cyclone forecast model, Tropical cyclone, Meteorology, Cyclone (programming language), Climatology, Environmental science, Numerical weather prediction, Tropical cyclone scales

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