2017London School of Economics and Political Science Research Online (London School of Economics and Political Science)Open access

A weaker economic case, but a stronger political one – how Yes could win a second referendum in Scotland

Stuart A. Brown

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Abstract

Nicola Sturgeon stated on 13 March that she intends to seek a new referendum on Scottish independence. Stuart Brown assesses how this second referendum campaign might play out. He writes that the Yes side would have a far more problematic economic picture to contend with than they had in 2014, but that the political argument for independence has potentially been strengthened by Brexit and the collapse of Scottish Labour.

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Nicola Sturgeon stated on 13 March that she intends to seek a new referendum on Scottish independence. Stuart Brown assesses how this second referendum campaign might play out. He writes that the Yes side would have a far more problematic economic picture to contend with than they had in 2014, but that the political argument for independence has potentially been strengthened by Brexit and the collapse of Scottish Labour.

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Available abstract

Nicola Sturgeon stated on 13 March that she intends to seek a new referendum on Scottish independence. Stuart Brown assesses how this second referendum campaign might play out. He writes that the Yes side would have a far more problematic economic picture to contend with than they had in 2014, but that the political argument for independence has potentially been strengthened by Brexit and the collapse of Scottish Labour.

Key concepts: Referendum, Brexit, Independence (probability theory), Politics, Political science, Argument (complex analysis), Political economy, Home rule

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