2015RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

Inflation and the Dispersion of Component Price Indices: A Case for Four Percent Solution

Sartaj Rasool Rather, S. Raja Sethu Durai, M. Ramachandran

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Abstract

Unlike earlier literature that documented positive association between inflation and the dispersion of relative prices over time, the empirical evidence from this study suggests that the relative price dispersion increases in response to the deviation of inflation from certain threshold/target level in either direction rather than the inflation per se. More importantly, the inflation rate at which the dispersion of relative prices is minimized turn out to be 4 percent for US and Japan; hence, supporting the proposal of 4 percent inflation target for both the countries.

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What this paper is about

Unlike earlier literature that documented positive association between inflation and the dispersion of relative prices over time, the empirical evidence from this study suggests that the relative price dispersion increases in response to the deviation of inflation from certain threshold/target level in either direction rather than the inflation per se. More importantly, the inflation rate at which the dispersion of relative prices is minimized turn out to be 4 percent for US and Japan; hence, supporting the proposal of 4 percent inflation target for both the countries.

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Available abstract

Unlike earlier literature that documented positive association between inflation and the dispersion of relative prices over time, the empirical evidence from this study suggests that the relative price dispersion increases in response to the deviation of inflation from certain threshold/target level in either direction rather than the inflation per se. More importantly, the inflation rate at which the dispersion of relative prices is minimized turn out to be 4 percent for US and Japan; hence, supporting the proposal of 4 percent inflation target for both the countries.

Key concepts: Inflation (cosmology), Dispersion (optics), Relative price, Economics, Price dispersion, Econometrics, Inflation rate, Price level

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