Predicting Bankruptcy: The Altman Z-Score Model, a Multi-Purpose Tool That Requires Cautious Use
Ozgur Can Ozbek, Ioannis Kokkoris
Abstract
Ozgur Can Ozbek, Ioannis Kokkoris
Abstract
Although businesses may have varying purposes, the main objective is the same for all of them and it is simply avoiding bankruptcy. Since a company’s bankruptcy is critical for not only its stakeholders but also for the oth- er parties such as its suppliers and creditors, the ability to diagnose the problems of a company in advance is a very valuable asset. The models that provide the ability to predict bankruptcy are important from the national economy perspective as well, since the employment of them is a precondition for guaranteeing the soundness and stability of the banking system and paving the way for incentive compatible, risk sensitive behaviour of debtors.
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Although businesses may have varying purposes, the main objective is the same for all of them and it is simply avoiding bankruptcy. Since a company’s bankruptcy is critical for not only its stakeholders but also for the oth- er parties such as its suppliers and creditors, the ability to diagnose the problems of a company in advance is a very valuable asset. The models that provide the ability to predict bankruptcy are important from the national economy perspective as well, since the employment of them is a precondition for guaranteeing the soundness and stability of the banking system and paving the way for incentive compatible, risk sensitive behaviour of debtors.
Key concepts: Bankruptcy, Creditor, Soundness, Actuarial science, Incentive, Precondition, Asset (computer security), Business