2017DergiPark (Istanbul University)Open access

The Relationship Between Unemployment Rate and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey

Mehmet Mucuk, Ayşen Edirneligil, Mustafa Gerçeker

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Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between unemployment rate and economic growth rate over the period 2002-2014 for Turkey.In this context, Johansen cointegration test and vector error correction model is applied to determine this relationship.Empirical findings show that the variables are not cointegrated so; there is no causal link between the two variables.This result does not support the Okun Law.However, in the short run growth shock have a negative impact on unemployment rate.On the other hand, shocks in unemployment have positive impact on the growth.The findings of this study have important policy implications.

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This paper investigates the relationship between unemployment rate and economic growth rate over the period 2002-2014 for Turkey.In this context, Johansen cointegration test and vector error correction model is applied to determine this relationship.Empirical findings show that the variables are not cointegrated so; there is no causal link between the two variables.This result does not support the Okun Law.However, in the short run growth shock have a negative impact on unemployment rate.On the other hand, shocks in unemployment have positive impact on the growth.The findings of this study have important policy implications.

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Available abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between unemployment rate and economic growth rate over the period 2002-2014 for Turkey.In this context, Johansen cointegration test and vector error correction model is applied to determine this relationship.Empirical findings show that the variables are not cointegrated so; there is no causal link between the two variables.This result does not support the Okun Law.However, in the short run growth shock have a negative impact on unemployment rate.On the other hand, shocks in unemployment have positive impact on the growth.The findings of this study have important policy implications.

Key concepts: Cointegration, Economics, Unemployment, Econometrics, Unemployment rate, Error correction model, Context (archaeology), Shock (circulatory)

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