Transportation Safety Analysis

A conceptual structure was developed for a model expressing transportation accident deaths as a function of transportation activity levels. The literature and data bases were reviewed. A first-level model was developed for the following modes: highway transport; air transport--scheduled and general aviation; and rail transport. The first-level model was used to project the number of transportation accident deaths, by mode, up to 1990, on the basis of transportation projections provided by TSC. An outline for a second-level model was developed.\n