2016Unpublished venueRequires access

Variance analyzed under E-Bayesian Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation for diagnosing failure rates

Wanyi Dai, Siqi Li, Mei Zhang, Yueming Hu, Dongfang Mei

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Abstract

In the timed censored tests under zero-failure data diagnosis, when prior distribution of failure rates is in the form of Gamma distribution, the paper discusses the variance of failure rates under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance of failure rates under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, finds the hyper parameter relational expression by which the minimum variance is obtained, and proves the variance under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation have a gradual equal relationship. Finally, through the calculation result acquired by an application instance, the paper verifies that the gradual equal relationship between E-Bayesian Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, and that the former is more advantageous to the latter.

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What this paper is about

In the timed censored tests under zero-failure data diagnosis, when prior distribution of failure rates is in the form of Gamma distribution, the paper discusses the variance of failure rates under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance of failure rates under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, finds the hyper parameter relational expression by which the minimum variance is obtained, and proves the variance under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation have a gradual equal relationship. Finally, through the calculation result acquired by an application instance, the paper verifies that the gradual equal relationship between E-Bayesian Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, and that the former is more advantageous to the latter.

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Available abstract

In the timed censored tests under zero-failure data diagnosis, when prior distribution of failure rates is in the form of Gamma distribution, the paper discusses the variance of failure rates under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance of failure rates under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, finds the hyper parameter relational expression by which the minimum variance is obtained, and proves the variance under E-Bayesian Estimation and the variance under Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation have a gradual equal relationship. Finally, through the calculation result acquired by an application instance, the paper verifies that the gradual equal relationship between E-Bayesian Estimation and Hierarchical Bayesian Estimation, and that the former is more advantageous to the latter.

Key concepts: Bayesian probability, Bayes estimator, Variance (accounting), Bayesian hierarchical modeling, Bayesian linear regression, Bayesian average, Statistics, Estimation

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