2016RePEc: Research Papers in EconomicsRequires access

ardl: Stata module to estimate autoregressive distributed lag models

Sebastian Kripfganz, Daniel C. Schneider

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Abstract

We present a new Stata package for the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in a time-series context. The ardl command can be used to estimate an ARDL model with the optimal number of autoregressive and distributed lags based on the Akaike or Schwarz/Bayesian information criterion. The regression results can be displayed in the ARDL levels form or in the error-correction representation of the model. The latter separates long-run and short-run effects and is available in two different parameterizations of the long-run (cointegrating) relationship. The bounds testing procedure for the existence of a long-run levels relationship suggested by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics) is implemented as a postestimation feature. As an alternative to their asymptotic critical values, the small-sample critical values provided by Narayan (2005, Applied Economics) are available as well.

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We present a new Stata package for the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in a time-series context. The ardl command can be used to estimate an ARDL model with the optimal number of autoregressive and distributed lags based on the Akaike or Schwarz/Bayesian information criterion. The regression results can be displayed in the ARDL levels form or in the error-correction representation of the model. The latter separates long-run and short-run effects and is available in two different parameterizations of the long-run (cointegrating) relationship. The bounds testing procedure for the existence of a long-run levels relationship suggested by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics) is implemented as a postestimation feature. As an alternative to their asymptotic critical values, the small-sample critical values provided by Narayan (2005, Applied Economics) are available as well.

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Available abstract

We present a new Stata package for the estimation of autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in a time-series context. The ardl command can be used to estimate an ARDL model with the optimal number of autoregressive and distributed lags based on the Akaike or Schwarz/Bayesian information criterion. The regression results can be displayed in the ARDL levels form or in the error-correction representation of the model. The latter separates long-run and short-run effects and is available in two different parameterizations of the long-run (cointegrating) relationship. The bounds testing procedure for the existence of a long-run levels relationship suggested by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics) is implemented as a postestimation feature. As an alternative to their asymptotic critical values, the small-sample critical values provided by Narayan (2005, Applied Economics) are available as well.

Key concepts: Distributed lag, Autoregressive model, Akaike information criterion, Econometrics, Cointegration, Bayesian probability, Context (archaeology), Statistics

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