1987Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C (Applied Statistics)Requires access

Robust Identification of Autoregressive Moving Average Models

Guido Masarotto

Open publisher page 14 citations

Abstract

SUMMARY We introduce a class of robust estimates for the partial autocorrelation function of a univariate stationary time series and show that it is possible to produce an estimate of the autocorrelation function from the estimated partial autocorrelation coefficients. These statistics seem suitable for the preliminary identification of the order, p and q of an ARMA (p, q) model when the observed series contains a few aberrant observations.

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SUMMARY We introduce a class of robust estimates for the partial autocorrelation function of a univariate stationary time series and show that it is possible to produce an estimate of the autocorrelation function from the estimated partial autocorrelation coefficients. These statistics seem suitable for the preliminary identification of the order, p and q of an ARMA (p, q) model when the observed series contains a few aberrant observations.

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Available abstract

SUMMARY We introduce a class of robust estimates for the partial autocorrelation function of a univariate stationary time series and show that it is possible to produce an estimate of the autocorrelation function from the estimated partial autocorrelation coefficients. These statistics seem suitable for the preliminary identification of the order, p and q of an ARMA (p, q) model when the observed series contains a few aberrant observations.

Key concepts: Autoregressive model, Autoregressive–moving-average model, Identification (biology), Econometrics, Autoregressive integrated moving average, Mathematics, STAR model, Statistics

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