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The Third Generation Approach to Currency Crises

Phillippe Aghion, Abhijit G. Banerjee

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Abstract

Abstract This chapter presents a highly stylized model, based on limited access to credit that can explain why an economy that is carrying a large amount of foreign currency debt might be vulnerable to currency crises, leaving it with a depreciated currency and GDP that remains lower than the pre-crisis trend for some time into the future. It is argued that in a monetary economy with standard price rigidities, credit constraints together with pecuniary externalities working through the nominal exchange rate are sufficient to generate currency crises.

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Abstract This chapter presents a highly stylized model, based on limited access to credit that can explain why an economy that is carrying a large amount of foreign currency debt might be vulnerable to currency crises, leaving it with a depreciated currency and GDP that remains lower than the pre-crisis trend for some time into the future. It is argued that in a monetary economy with standard price rigidities, credit constraints together with pecuniary externalities working through the nominal exchange rate are sufficient to generate currency crises.

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Available abstract

Abstract This chapter presents a highly stylized model, based on limited access to credit that can explain why an economy that is carrying a large amount of foreign currency debt might be vulnerable to currency crises, leaving it with a depreciated currency and GDP that remains lower than the pre-crisis trend for some time into the future. It is argued that in a monetary economy with standard price rigidities, credit constraints together with pecuniary externalities working through the nominal exchange rate are sufficient to generate currency crises.

Key concepts: Currency, Stylized fact, Economics, Monetary economics, Debt, Exchange rate, Externality, Currency crisis

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