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Dynamic Study on Influence of RMB Real Exchange Rate upon Trade Balance Between China and the United States——Based on the Quarterly Data from 1990 to 2010

HU Bang-yong

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Abstract

Based on the quarterly data from 1990 to 2010 between China and the United States,the author analyzed the dynamic relationship between the real exchange rate and Sino-US trade.The results show that RMB real exchange rate affect Sino-US trade balance significantly,but the influence is lower than the US GDP and China's GDP.And there is a clear J-curve effect between Sino-US trade.According to the results,the author puts forward the suggestions of adjusting economic structure and export structure,expanding free-floating RMB exchange rate and so on.

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What this paper is about

Based on the quarterly data from 1990 to 2010 between China and the United States,the author analyzed the dynamic relationship between the real exchange rate and Sino-US trade.The results show that RMB real exchange rate affect Sino-US trade balance significantly,but the influence is lower than the US GDP and China's GDP.And there is a clear J-curve effect between Sino-US trade.According to the results,the author puts forward the suggestions of adjusting economic structure and export structure,expanding free-floating RMB exchange rate and so on.

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Available abstract

Based on the quarterly data from 1990 to 2010 between China and the United States,the author analyzed the dynamic relationship between the real exchange rate and Sino-US trade.The results show that RMB real exchange rate affect Sino-US trade balance significantly,but the influence is lower than the US GDP and China's GDP.And there is a clear J-curve effect between Sino-US trade.According to the results,the author puts forward the suggestions of adjusting economic structure and export structure,expanding free-floating RMB exchange rate and so on.

Key concepts: Renminbi, China, Exchange rate, Balance of trade, Economics, Effective exchange rate, International economics, Real gross domestic product

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Dynamic Study on Influence of RMB Real Exchange Rate upon Trade Balance Between China and the United States——Based on the Quarterly Data from 1990 to 2010 — Research Paper | ScholarLens