Empirical Study upon The Structural Convergence of China's Manufacturing Industries

By utilizing the(convergence methods in the field of regional economics and 20 manufacturing industries data in 29 provinces during 1993～2007,this paper investigates weather the structural convergence of China's manufacturing industry exists.Through setting up dynamic panel-data model,choosing 5 important factors including previous relative concentration,the average size of industry,regional industrial associations and transportation conditions,etc,we test the formation process of the structural changes of 20 manufacturing industries.The estimating result shows there is no consistent structural convergence of all industries in recent years.The initial industry distribution and transportation conditions significantly influence the convergence process.While the industrial association and reorganization policy lead to industry agglomeration tendency,making the industry structure differences to expand.