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RESEARCH ON FLOOD FORECAST OPERATION SCHEME WITH DOUBLE INDICATORS FOR ANKANG RESERVOIR

XI Qiu-yi

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Abstract

With the improvement of rainfall forecasting level,reservoir forecast operation on rainfall has drawn more and more attention.In this paper,through analyzing the feasibility of flood control operation for Ankang and taking total forecast information of cumulative net rain as main indicator and reservoir water as auxiliary indicator,we set forecast operation rule with double indicators for Ankang by gradually adjusting method,then regulated flood design and actual flood.Results show that water level of fell in advance below the flood control level,the capacity of the flood control increased,discharge in the peak stage reduced and the highest level in forecast operation was lower than that in normal operation,which improved the flood control ability.At the same time,we selected different initial water level to regulate flood design and actual flood,and chose the more appropriate one and analyzed the risk in forecast and normal operation.Results show that initial water level increased,the risk of forecast also increased but under the normal operation.Thus,we proposed that flood control level could be set at 326 m to realize floodwater resources utilization.

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What this paper is about

With the improvement of rainfall forecasting level,reservoir forecast operation on rainfall has drawn more and more attention.In this paper,through analyzing the feasibility of flood control operation for Ankang and taking total forecast information of cumulative net rain as main indicator and reservoir water as auxiliary indicator,we set forecast operation rule with double indicators for Ankang by gradually adjusting method,then regulated flood design and actual flood.Results show that water level of fell in advance below the flood control level,the capacity of the flood control increased,discharge in the peak stage reduced and the highest level in forecast operation was lower than that in normal operation,which improved the flood control ability.At the same time,we selected different initial water level to regulate flood design and actual flood,and chose the more appropriate one and analyzed the risk in forecast and normal operation.Results show that initial water level increased,the risk of forecast also increased but under the normal operation.Thus,we proposed that flood control level could be set at 326 m to realize floodwater resources utilization.

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Available abstract

With the improvement of rainfall forecasting level,reservoir forecast operation on rainfall has drawn more and more attention.In this paper,through analyzing the feasibility of flood control operation for Ankang and taking total forecast information of cumulative net rain as main indicator and reservoir water as auxiliary indicator,we set forecast operation rule with double indicators for Ankang by gradually adjusting method,then regulated flood design and actual flood.Results show that water level of fell in advance below the flood control level,the capacity of the flood control increased,discharge in the peak stage reduced and the highest level in forecast operation was lower than that in normal operation,which improved the flood control ability.At the same time,we selected different initial water level to regulate flood design and actual flood,and chose the more appropriate one and analyzed the risk in forecast and normal operation.Results show that initial water level increased,the risk of forecast also increased but under the normal operation.Thus,we proposed that flood control level could be set at 326 m to realize floodwater resources utilization.

Key concepts: Flood myth, Environmental science, Water level, Flood control, Flood forecasting, 100-year flood, Hydrology (agriculture), Meteorology

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