An Empirical Analysis on the Impact from the Income Change of Urban and Rural Residents to Economic Growth
Ting Zuo
Abstract
Ting Zuo
Abstract
Based on economic data from 1985 to 2010,by using co-integration theory,error correction model and Granger causality test,the article does an empirical analysis of the interaction between urban and rural residents' income and economic growth.Studies have shown that there is a long-term stability and two-way causal relationship between the rural residents' income and economic growth,while only one-way causal relationship between the urban residents' income and rural residents' income growth in promoting economic growth is stronger than that of urban residents' income growth;In short-term,the rural residents' income growth experienced a process of first hindering and then promoting economic growth,however,the urban residents' income growth continue to promote economic growth,but the role begins gradually declining.Finally,the article drew a conclusion that the government must also take into account the growth of the income of urban residents while increasing the income of rural residents.
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Based on economic data from 1985 to 2010,by using co-integration theory,error correction model and Granger causality test,the article does an empirical analysis of the interaction between urban and rural residents' income and economic growth.Studies have shown that there is a long-term stability and two-way causal relationship between the rural residents' income and economic growth,while only one-way causal relationship between the urban residents' income and rural residents' income growth in promoting economic growth is stronger than that of urban residents' income growth;In short-term,the rural residents' income growth experienced a process of first hindering and then promoting economic growth,however,the urban residents' income growth continue to promote economic growth,but the role begins gradually declining.Finally,the article drew a conclusion that the government must also take into account the growth of the income of urban residents while increasing the income of rural residents.
Key concepts: Economics, Granger causality, Comprehensive income, Demographic economics, Causality (physics), Error correction model, Government (linguistics), Net national income