2008China Economic QuarterlyRequires access

Real Exchange Rate and Real Interest Differentials——An Empirical Analysis on Real Exchange Rate of RMB

G Biao, En Z

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Abstract

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between real exchange rate and real interest rate differentials,export-import,where the currencies cover RMB/USD,RMB/JPY,RMB/HKD,and RMB/EURO.We find that there exists no significant and stable relationship between real exchange rate and real interest differentials.Furthermore,the real exchange rate of RMB exhibits apparent characteristics of autoregressive and nonlinear dynamic adjustment during the period we are concerned with.Therefore,we conclude that it is quite important to examine the data generating mechanism of real exchange of RMB itself in further studies.

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What this paper is about

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between real exchange rate and real interest rate differentials,export-import,where the currencies cover RMB/USD,RMB/JPY,RMB/HKD,and RMB/EURO.We find that there exists no significant and stable relationship between real exchange rate and real interest differentials.Furthermore,the real exchange rate of RMB exhibits apparent characteristics of autoregressive and nonlinear dynamic adjustment during the period we are concerned with.Therefore,we conclude that it is quite important to examine the data generating mechanism of real exchange of RMB itself in further studies.

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Available abstract

This paper investigates the empirical relationship between real exchange rate and real interest rate differentials,export-import,where the currencies cover RMB/USD,RMB/JPY,RMB/HKD,and RMB/EURO.We find that there exists no significant and stable relationship between real exchange rate and real interest differentials.Furthermore,the real exchange rate of RMB exhibits apparent characteristics of autoregressive and nonlinear dynamic adjustment during the period we are concerned with.Therefore,we conclude that it is quite important to examine the data generating mechanism of real exchange of RMB itself in further studies.

Key concepts: Renminbi, Exchange rate, Economics, Autoregressive model, Monetary economics, Real interest rate, Econometrics, Effective exchange rate

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