Calculation and Analysis of Penetration Probability of Anti-Ship Missile for Target Countermeasure

Based on the analysis of target ship's discovering probability against anti-ship missile, the penetration problem of anti-ship missile has been researched under the condition of the target ship taking various ways against homing missile, and then ,the calculation formula of the penetration probability of anti-ship missile have been obtained. Simulation analysis has testified the validity of the calculation model. The conclusions that we obtained have reference for the surface-ship's tactics.