Grey Analysis Prediction on Forestry Industrial Structure in Shaanxi

The structure and changing regularities of forestry industry in Shaanxi Province,China during 1998 to 2010 were investigated by grey correlation analysis method.The prediction model GM(1,1) was established.The results showed that the degrees of grey correlation between the industries of the three catalogues(the first,second and third industry) and total forestry industry were 0.979 5,0.887 3,and 0.744 9,respectively.The output values of the three industries were in the order of the first the second the third.It was predicted that the continuous improvement of the living standard of the people would further promote the rapid development of the third forestry industry manifested by the flourishing of forest tourism and forestry services,which would make the structure of forestry industry more reasonable.A new pattern in which the third forestry industry will be in dominant position among the three would be formed.