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The Application of ARIMA Model in Investing Forecast in Fixed Assets of Shanghai

Shi Mei-juan

Abstract

This paper applys ARIMA method to analyse data of the volume of investment in fixed assets of Shanghai.The data is provided by the Shanghai Statistical Yearbook(2002).It shows the forecast of ARIMA(1,1,10) model is exact. The model can be used to forecast to provide reliable basis for investing in fixed assets of Shanghai.

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Key concepts: Autoregressive integrated moving average, Fixed asset, Yearbook, Econometrics, Investment (military), Statistics, Time series, Computer science