Empirical Study on the Structure Evolution of Energy Consumption in China's Industry
Shi Zu-lin
Abstract
Shi Zu-lin
Abstract
China's economy is in transition phase with huge energy consumption.There is a concern and long-term controversy whether energy structure is caused by industrial changes.One opinion is that energy consumption will decline along with upgrading the industrial structure,and the other view is that energy consumption will remain relatively stabe to be free from the influence of economic growth.It is important to determine the relationship between them for China's energy development strategy and efficient using of energy.Using the method of energy consumption structure changing coefficient,this paper analyzes industrial energy consumption structure and their evolutions from 1995 to 2007,the result is that energy consumption structures of most of industries hardly changed,a few industries have energy consumption decreased or increased,some industries also have energy consumption transformed.Taking technological transformation on the energy-intensive industries,controlling the size of key energy-intensive industries and their energy efficiencies,can reduce energy consumption.In order to reduce energy consumption,it must decrease the overall level of energy consumption and improve energy efficiency.Policy recommendations for energy supply and demand are as followings: speed up technological innovation in key energy-intensive industries and lower energy consumption.Reform energy price and promote energy conservation and efficiency.Develop new energy sources and reduce dependence on traditional energy sources.Adjust product structure of exports and reduce the export of high energy consumption products.
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China's economy is in transition phase with huge energy consumption.There is a concern and long-term controversy whether energy structure is caused by industrial changes.One opinion is that energy consumption will decline along with upgrading the industrial structure,and the other view is that energy consumption will remain relatively stabe to be free from the influence of economic growth.It is important to determine the relationship between them for China's energy development strategy and efficient using of energy.Using the method of energy consumption structure changing coefficient,this paper analyzes industrial energy consumption structure and their evolutions from 1995 to 2007,the result is that energy consumption structures of most of industries hardly changed,a few industries have energy consumption decreased or increased,some industries also have energy consumption transformed.Taking technological transformation on the energy-intensive industries,controlling the size of key energy-intensive industries and their energy efficiencies,can reduce energy consumption.In order to reduce energy consumption,it must decrease the overall level of energy consumption and improve energy efficiency.Policy recommendations for energy supply and demand are as followings: speed up technological innovation in key energy-intensive industries and lower energy consumption.Reform energy price and promote energy conservation and efficiency.Develop new energy sources and reduce dependence on traditional energy sources.Adjust product structure of exports and reduce the export of high energy consumption products.
Key concepts: Energy consumption, Consumption (sociology), Energy accounting, Energy conservation, Efficient energy use, Energy intensity, Energy (signal processing), Economics