2006Science Technology and IndustryRequires access

Decision, Utility and Prospect Theory

Ruigui Yang

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Abstract

Expected utility theory is the decision analysis rationale, until now does not have one kind of theory to be able to substitute for it in the management decision-making status. The prospect theory appearance, powerfully is shaking its absolute status, is getting up the important promoter action to the traditional policy-making theory based on the expectation effectiveness maximization. However, because oneself lacks the strict logical inference, I think that it is unable to substitute for the expected utility theory in the standardized decision-making function.

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What this paper is about

Expected utility theory is the decision analysis rationale, until now does not have one kind of theory to be able to substitute for it in the management decision-making status. The prospect theory appearance, powerfully is shaking its absolute status, is getting up the important promoter action to the traditional policy-making theory based on the expectation effectiveness maximization. However, because oneself lacks the strict logical inference, I think that it is unable to substitute for the expected utility theory in the standardized decision-making function.

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Available abstract

Expected utility theory is the decision analysis rationale, until now does not have one kind of theory to be able to substitute for it in the management decision-making status. The prospect theory appearance, powerfully is shaking its absolute status, is getting up the important promoter action to the traditional policy-making theory based on the expectation effectiveness maximization. However, because oneself lacks the strict logical inference, I think that it is unable to substitute for the expected utility theory in the standardized decision-making function.

Key concepts: Prospect theory, Expected utility hypothesis, Evidential decision theory, Subjective expected utility, Decision theory, Causal decision theory, Utility maximization, Von Neumann–Morgenstern utility theorem

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