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2004•Journal of Gansu SciencesRequires access

The Prediction on the Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004

FU De-yin

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Abstract

Based on the monthly data of Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods in China from 1.1993 to 10.2003, it established the model of ARIMA (p, d, q)(P, D, Q) +s and predicted the Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004. The Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004 will continue to increase as a whole, but there will exist obvious seasonal changes every month.

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What this paper is about

Based on the monthly data of Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods in China from 1.1993 to 10.2003, it established the model of ARIMA (p, d, q)(P, D, Q) +s and predicted the Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004. The Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004 will continue to increase as a whole, but there will exist obvious seasonal changes every month.

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Available abstract

Based on the monthly data of Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods in China from 1.1993 to 10.2003, it established the model of ARIMA (p, d, q)(P, D, Q) +s and predicted the Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004. The Monthly Total Retail Sales of Consumer Goods of China in 2004 will continue to increase as a whole, but there will exist obvious seasonal changes every month.

Key concepts: Retail sales, Autoregressive integrated moving average, China, Agricultural economics, Business, Commerce, Retail trade, Fast-moving consumer goods

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