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Granger causality analysis of stock markets in China

Hong Yu Zhu

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Abstract

This paper analyzes the auto and cross correlations of Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Based on some econometric techniques, the Granger causality on the cross correlation and co movement of the three stock markets is explored. The results show that there are strong auto correlation, long memory and persistence for the volatility of each of the three stock markets. Hong Kong stock market has little influence on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Shenzhen stock market has strong Granger causality on Shanghai stock market, but the reversal does not exist.

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What this paper is about

This paper analyzes the auto and cross correlations of Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Based on some econometric techniques, the Granger causality on the cross correlation and co movement of the three stock markets is explored. The results show that there are strong auto correlation, long memory and persistence for the volatility of each of the three stock markets. Hong Kong stock market has little influence on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Shenzhen stock market has strong Granger causality on Shanghai stock market, but the reversal does not exist.

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Available abstract

This paper analyzes the auto and cross correlations of Hong Kong, Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Based on some econometric techniques, the Granger causality on the cross correlation and co movement of the three stock markets is explored. The results show that there are strong auto correlation, long memory and persistence for the volatility of each of the three stock markets. Hong Kong stock market has little influence on Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets. Shenzhen stock market has strong Granger causality on Shanghai stock market, but the reversal does not exist.

Key concepts: Granger causality, Stock (firearms), Economics, Stock market, China, Volatility (finance), Stock market bubble, Financial economics

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