An Empirical Study of the Impact of Some Macroeconomic Factors on China's Export to Korea
Huang Guan-yu
Abstract
Huang Guan-yu
Abstract
By using of the analysis tools of cointegration and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of macro-economic factors, such as real income, relative price and exchange rate, on export from China to South Korea detailedly. The results reveals that: in the long run, there exists stable equilibrium relationships between factors pointed above and Sino-Korea export; the increase of real income and exchange rate risk will lead to the expanding of Sino-Korea export, and the rise of relative price will reduce Sino-Korea export.
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By using of the analysis tools of cointegration and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of macro-economic factors, such as real income, relative price and exchange rate, on export from China to South Korea detailedly. The results reveals that: in the long run, there exists stable equilibrium relationships between factors pointed above and Sino-Korea export; the increase of real income and exchange rate risk will lead to the expanding of Sino-Korea export, and the rise of relative price will reduce Sino-Korea export.
Key concepts: Cointegration, Economics, China, Exchange rate, Variance decomposition of forecast errors, International economics, Econometrics, Macro