2007•Journal of International TradeRequires access

An Empirical Study of the Impact of Some Macroeconomic Factors on China's Export to Korea

Huang Guan-yu

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Abstract

By using of the analysis tools of cointegration and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of macro-economic factors, such as real income, relative price and exchange rate, on export from China to South Korea detailedly. The results reveals that: in the long run, there exists stable equilibrium relationships between factors pointed above and Sino-Korea export; the increase of real income and exchange rate risk will lead to the expanding of Sino-Korea export, and the rise of relative price will reduce Sino-Korea export.

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What this paper is about

By using of the analysis tools of cointegration and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of macro-economic factors, such as real income, relative price and exchange rate, on export from China to South Korea detailedly. The results reveals that: in the long run, there exists stable equilibrium relationships between factors pointed above and Sino-Korea export; the increase of real income and exchange rate risk will lead to the expanding of Sino-Korea export, and the rise of relative price will reduce Sino-Korea export.

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Available abstract

By using of the analysis tools of cointegration and variance decomposition, this paper empirically analyzes the impact of macro-economic factors, such as real income, relative price and exchange rate, on export from China to South Korea detailedly. The results reveals that: in the long run, there exists stable equilibrium relationships between factors pointed above and Sino-Korea export; the increase of real income and exchange rate risk will lead to the expanding of Sino-Korea export, and the rise of relative price will reduce Sino-Korea export.

Key concepts: Cointegration, Economics, China, Exchange rate, Variance decomposition of forecast errors, International economics, Econometrics, Macro

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