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An Empirical Analysis on the Effect of External Trade on Economic Growth in China

Guo You

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Abstract

The relationship between external trade and economic growth in China is analyzed by applying co - integration analytical tools and Granger causality. The conclusion indicates that the relationship between external trade and economic growth remains steady for a long time, the output elasticity of import trade is bigger, and there is a uni -direction causality between export and economic growth. E-conomic growth in China is still an export - oriented growth, so the export trade must be strengthened and at the same time the role of import trade should be emphasized.

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What this paper is about

The relationship between external trade and economic growth in China is analyzed by applying co - integration analytical tools and Granger causality. The conclusion indicates that the relationship between external trade and economic growth remains steady for a long time, the output elasticity of import trade is bigger, and there is a uni -direction causality between export and economic growth. E-conomic growth in China is still an export - oriented growth, so the export trade must be strengthened and at the same time the role of import trade should be emphasized.

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Available abstract

The relationship between external trade and economic growth in China is analyzed by applying co - integration analytical tools and Granger causality. The conclusion indicates that the relationship between external trade and economic growth remains steady for a long time, the output elasticity of import trade is bigger, and there is a uni -direction causality between export and economic growth. E-conomic growth in China is still an export - oriented growth, so the export trade must be strengthened and at the same time the role of import trade should be emphasized.

Key concepts: Granger causality, Economics, China, Causality (physics), International economics, Output elasticity, Export trade, Economic integration

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