Relation among Housing Price,Land Price,Completed Housing Cost and the Ratio of Housing Sales Area to Completed Housing Area
Huang Ju-li
Abstract
Huang Ju-li
Abstract
Based on multivariate econometric model determining the microscopic forming mechanism of price and land price,this article makes theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between price and land price.Study finds that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the price,land price,completed cost and the ratio of sales area and completed area,that although land price is Granger cause of price from long-term perspective,however,the influence of price on land price is much bigger than the influence of land price on price from the perspective of variance decomposition,that the key factor for the rise of price,relative to the influence of land price,ishousing price inertiaand the imbalance between supply and demand,and that after price and land price are shocked,the response value of price and land price to the stochastic impulse will go to the maximum after six to seven quarter and become stabilized soon afterwards.Therefore,the key to improving the effect of the real estate regulation is the suppression of housing price inertia,the introduction of policies for regulating price should be ahead of the time,meanwhile,the implementation of the policies should take a long time,and reverse balance between supply and demand of real estate should be realized by regulating policies.
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Based on multivariate econometric model determining the microscopic forming mechanism of price and land price,this article makes theoretical and empirical analysis of the relationship between price and land price.Study finds that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship among the price,land price,completed cost and the ratio of sales area and completed area,that although land price is Granger cause of price from long-term perspective,however,the influence of price on land price is much bigger than the influence of land price on price from the perspective of variance decomposition,that the key factor for the rise of price,relative to the influence of land price,ishousing price inertiaand the imbalance between supply and demand,and that after price and land price are shocked,the response value of price and land price to the stochastic impulse will go to the maximum after six to seven quarter and become stabilized soon afterwards.Therefore,the key to improving the effect of the real estate regulation is the suppression of housing price inertia,the introduction of policies for regulating price should be ahead of the time,meanwhile,the implementation of the policies should take a long time,and reverse balance between supply and demand of real estate should be realized by regulating policies.
Key concepts: Factor price, Economics, Mid price, Reservation price, Price level, Land price, Limit price, Real estate