2015Science Technology and IndustryRequires access

The Empricical Analysis of the Price Discovery Function in Chinese Corn Futures Market

AI Chen-x

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Abstract

Select the price time-series data of futures market price and spot market price of China's corn futures market between January 4,2013 and December 31,2014,after analysing the price discovery function of corn futures market by Granger-causality test,error correction model,pulse response analysis and so on,the analysis shows that the price discovery function of China's corn futures market has been manifesting and corn futures market price appears showing aguiding role to corn spot market price effectively,while there exists a certain lag in the guidance of futures market price to spot market price,in other words,the performance of price discovery function has a certain lag.

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What this paper is about

Select the price time-series data of futures market price and spot market price of China's corn futures market between January 4,2013 and December 31,2014,after analysing the price discovery function of corn futures market by Granger-causality test,error correction model,pulse response analysis and so on,the analysis shows that the price discovery function of China's corn futures market has been manifesting and corn futures market price appears showing aguiding role to corn spot market price effectively,while there exists a certain lag in the guidance of futures market price to spot market price,in other words,the performance of price discovery function has a certain lag.

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Available abstract

Select the price time-series data of futures market price and spot market price of China's corn futures market between January 4,2013 and December 31,2014,after analysing the price discovery function of corn futures market by Granger-causality test,error correction model,pulse response analysis and so on,the analysis shows that the price discovery function of China's corn futures market has been manifesting and corn futures market price appears showing aguiding role to corn spot market price effectively,while there exists a certain lag in the guidance of futures market price to spot market price,in other words,the performance of price discovery function has a certain lag.

Key concepts: Price discovery, Futures contract, Normal backwardation, Futures market, Economics, Forward market, Granger causality, Market price

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